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	<title>Comments on: Breaking down the top 7 hitting prospects: #3 Logan Morrison</title>
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		<title>By: John Herold</title>
		<link>http://marlinmaniac.com/2010/02/16/breaking-down-the-top-7-hitting-prospects-3-logan-morrison/comment-page-1/#comment-970</link>
		<dc:creator>John Herold</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Feb 2010 20:42:46 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Joe,

Very good question and one I meant to address in the article but it slipped my mind.  It&#039;s unfortunately a question we do not have a lot of data to give a complete answer to though.

The difference in WAR&#039;s positional value for a LFer and a 1B through 150 games is roughly 4.5 runs.  I have Morrison as a -2.5 1B, so if we assume his defense stays static in a move to LF, that would make him a -7 defensive LFer.  Morrison has well below average range, but as you point out he has a very strong arm.  

I think -7 is a solid estimate for his defense in LF, maybe along the lines of his range being -10 runs and his arm being worth +3.  However, with just how important range is to the OF, I imagine it&#039;s more likely he&#039;d be under -7 rather than over.  It&#039;s hard to give a concrete estimate though.  

With 1 run equaling 0.1 WAR, it&#039;d require for him to be a -4 defensive OFer for his projection to match Dominguez&#039;s (+1 if Dominguez can be +10 like the scouts believe).  It&#039;s possible, but I find it unlikely.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Joe,</p>
<p>Very good question and one I meant to address in the article but it slipped my mind.  It&#8217;s unfortunately a question we do not have a lot of data to give a complete answer to though.</p>
<p>The difference in WAR&#8217;s positional value for a LFer and a 1B through 150 games is roughly 4.5 runs.  I have Morrison as a -2.5 1B, so if we assume his defense stays static in a move to LF, that would make him a -7 defensive LFer.  Morrison has well below average range, but as you point out he has a very strong arm.  </p>
<p>I think -7 is a solid estimate for his defense in LF, maybe along the lines of his range being -10 runs and his arm being worth +3.  However, with just how important range is to the OF, I imagine it&#8217;s more likely he&#8217;d be under -7 rather than over.  It&#8217;s hard to give a concrete estimate though.  </p>
<p>With 1 run equaling 0.1 WAR, it&#8217;d require for him to be a -4 defensive OFer for his projection to match Dominguez&#8217;s (+1 if Dominguez can be +10 like the scouts believe).  It&#8217;s possible, but I find it unlikely.</p>
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		<title>By: Joe</title>
		<link>http://marlinmaniac.com/2010/02/16/breaking-down-the-top-7-hitting-prospects-3-logan-morrison/comment-page-1/#comment-968</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Feb 2010 20:05:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://marlinmaniac.com/?p=1734#comment-968</guid>
		<description>I liked the article showing the difference in defensive value, but was wondering if Morrison&#039;s value increases if he were moved to left field where he would have below average range with a rocket arm.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I liked the article showing the difference in defensive value, but was wondering if Morrison&#8217;s value increases if he were moved to left field where he would have below average range with a rocket arm.</p>
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