Series Preview: San Francisco Giants

The Marlins got a rather odd off-day after an off-day on Thursday, but they are back in action tonight against the San Francisco Giants. Here’s your preview for the three-game set.

San Francisco Giants (14-10) @ Florida Marlins, May 4-6, Games 26-28

NL East Standings

Tm W L Win% GB
PHI 14 11 .560
NYM 14 12 .538 0.5
FLA 13 12 .520 1.0
WSN 13 12 .520 1.0
ATL 11 14 .440 3.0

Stadium: Sun Life Stadium
Five-year Run PF*: 0.99
Five-year HR PF*: 0.97
Stadium Dimensions:
Left Field: 330 ft.
Left-Center: 361
Center Field: 404
Right-Center: 361
Right Field: 345

*Five-year regressed park factors provided by Patriot here

Projected Pitching Matchups

May 4: Anibal Sanchez vs. Tim Lincecum
May 5: Nate Robertson vs. Barry Zito
May 6: Ricky Nolasco vs. Matt Cain

ZiPS In-Season Projections

FIP Win% Marlins Date Giants Win% FIP
4.17 .497 Sanchez May 4 Lincecum .707 2.51
4.55 .455 Robertson May 5 Zito .485 4.27
3.58 .566 Nolasco May 6 Cain .558 3.65

Projected Lineup

Lineup Player Current wOBA Proj. wOBA v. RHP Proj. wOBA v. LHP
1 Cameron Maybin .294 .302 .316
2 Chris Coghlan
.207 .342 .315
3 Hanley Ramirez .401 .404 .424
4 Jorge Cantu .385 .335 .353
5 Dan Uggla .388 .356 .365
6 John Baker/Ronny Paulino* .326/.369 .330 .348
7 Cody Ross .300 .331 .364
8 Gaby Sanchez .360 .336 .366

*Baker and Paulino are platooning. Projected wOBA vs. RHP is for Baker, vs. LHP is for Paulino.


– Quietly, Cody Ross is struggling. While the slumps of Cameron Maybin and Chris Coghlan have been well-documented, Ross has mostly gotten away with an awful first month of the season. Each of those three guys should start regressing soon, with Ross most likely to return to his 2009 form. Interestingly enough, Ross is hitting about as well as last year in terms of batting average (.264 in 2010, .270 in 2009) and OBP (.304 in 2010, .321 in 2009), but Ross’ majestic power punch has dissipated so far this year. He’ll get back into it, I’m sure.

– I’ll be sure to tune in today to listen to Tim Lincecum vs. Anibal Sanchez. I don’t think we have a shot against the Freak (or Big Time Timmy Jim, if you prefer), but I’d like to at least bear witness.

– Barry Zito looks to dominate us like he did last year. Back when it was still fun to make fun of Barry Zito and his contract, he dominated us in 8 1/3 innings, striking out six and walking just one. Combined with our team’s supposed inability to hit slow-tossing lefties, and we have ourselves one scary opponent. Beware the curve.

– Reliever Clay Hensley returned to the team from the bereavement list. Tim Wood was optioned down to Triple-A.

Bold Prediction: Marlins win one of three games.

Tags: Barry Zito Clay Hensley Cody Ross Miami Marlins San Francisco Giants Tim Lincecum Tim Wood

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