Series Preview: Colorado Rockies

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Tonight, the Marlins begin a four-game set against the Colorado Rockies, our expansion partner.

Colorado Rockies (50-41) vs. Florida Marlins, July 19-22, Games 92-95

NL East Standings

TmWLWin%GB
ATL5438.587
NYM4943.5335.0
PHI4843.5275.5
FLA4447.4849.5
WSN4052.43514.0

Stadium: Sun Life Stadium
Five-year Run PF*: 0.99
Five-year HR PF*: 0.97
Stadium Dimensions:
Left Field: 330 ft.
Left-Center: 361
Center Field: 404
Right-Center: 361
Right Field: 345

*Five-year regressed park factors provided by Patriot here

Projected Pitching Matchups

July 19: Anibal Sanchez vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
July 20: Nate Robertson vs. Jeff Francis
July 21: Ricky Nolasco vs. Jason Hammel
July 22: Josh Johnson vs. Jorge de la Rosa

ZiPS In-Season Projections

FIPProj. FIPWin%MarlinsDateDodgersWin%Proj. FIPFIP
3.473.74.547SanchezJuly 19Jimenez.5753.513.13
4,664.34.479RobertsonJuly 20Francis.5233.943.66
4.223.67.555NolascoJuly 21Hammel.5373.823.50
2.242.70.681JohnsonJuly 22de la Rosa.4894.245.30

Projected Lineup

LineupPlayerCurrent wOBAProj. wOBA v. RHPProj. wOBA v. LHP
1Chris Coghlan.317.346.320
2Gaby Sanchez.367.348.372
3Hanley Ramirez.373.396.412
4Jorge Cantu.316.322.339
5Dan Uggla.368.355.367
6Cody Ross.331.332.366
7Ronny Paulino.314.306.341
8Mike Stanton.309

Notes

– As you can see by the Rockies’ rotation, this team is built around its pitching, something that sounds odd considering they play half of their games at Coors Field. Nevertheless, the Marlins will have to contend with what is one of the top three rotations in the National League, led by Ubaldo Jimenez, the NL’s All-Star starter this season.

– The team is an offensive slump, which does not bode well given the staff they’ll be facing.

Chris Coghlan might actually miss this series with a bad back, but I put him on the lineup list anyway. If he misses time, expect Emilio Bonifacio (I know, I know) to take his place in the lineup. I would say there is also a pretty good chance Bonifacio will lead off, sadly.

Bold Prediction: Marlins win two out of four games.