Series Preview: @Cincinnati Reds

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Coming off of a much-needed three-game sweep of the Washington Nationals, the Marlins visit the Cincinnati Reds, looking to shake up the NL Central race for the second time this week. The Fish faced the St. Louis Cardinals over the last weekend, and now we’ll get a chance to meet the other half of the close divisional race.

Florida Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds (64-51), August 10-12, Games 111-113

NL East Standings

Tm W L Win% GB
ATL 66 48 .579
PHI 64 50 .561 2.0
FLA 57 56 .504 8.5
NYM 57 57 .500 9.0
WSN 49 66 .426 17.5

Stadium: Great American Ballpark
Five-year Run PF*: 1.04
Five-year HR PF*: 1.11
Stadium Dimensions:
Left Field: 329 ft.
Left-Center: 379
Center Field: 404
Right-Center: 370
Right Field: 325

*Five-year regressed park factors provided by Patriot here

Projected Pitching Matchups

August 10: Josh Johnson vs. Edinson Volquez
August 11: Sean West vs. Mike Leake
August 12: Anibal Sanchez vs. Homer Bailey

ZiPS In-Season Projections

FIP Proj. FIP Win% Marlins Date Reds Win% Proj. FIP FIP
2.29 2.78 .670 Johnson August 10 Volquez .500 4.14 5.94
7.31 5.59 .357 West August 11 Leake 4.46
3.25 3.54 .571 Sanchez August 12 Bailey .462 4.49 4.71

Projected Lineup

Lineup Player Current wOBA Proj. wOBA v. RHP Proj. wOBA v. LHP
1 Hanley Ramirez .361 .388 .403
2 Logan Morrison .313
3 Gaby Sanchez .358 .337 .361
4 Dan Uggla .388 .361 .373
5 Cody Ross .320 .327 .361
6 Mike Stanton .374
7 Wes Helms .287 .284 .311
8 Ronny Paulino .293 .288 .323

Notes

– Hopefully the smaller Great American Ballpark will further assist the power surge of guys like Mike Stanton and Hanley Ramirez.

– Good pitching matchup tonight between Josh Johnson and Edinson Volquez. Hopefully JJ can get enough support from the bullpen to get the win. As sad as it may be, Johnson probably will not win the Cy Young award if he does not get more winz, so I’ll cheer for the win even though it is a dumb stat.

Bold Prediction: Marlins win two out of three games.

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Tags: Cincinnati Reds Edinson Volquez Hanley Ramirez Josh Johnson Miami Marlins Mike Stanton

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