Series Preview: @Pittsburgh Pirates

The Marlins continue their tour through the NL Central, as they come to beautiful PNC Park for a four-game set versus the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Marlins have struggled versus Pittsburgh before, which is odd given the Pirates’ current state of affairs. Hopefully, the club can turn it around this time.

Florida Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds (64-51), August 10-12, Games 111-113

NL East Standings

Tm W L Win% GB
ATL 68 49 .581
PHI 66 51 .564 2.0
NYM 58 59 .496 10.0
FLA 57 59 .491 10.5
WSN 51 67 .432 17.5

Stadium: PNC Park
Five-year Run PF*: 0.99
Five-year HR PF*: 0.94
Stadium Dimensions:
Left Field: 325 ft.
Left-Center: 383
Center Field: 410
Right-Center: 375
Right Field: 320

*Five-year regressed park factors provided by Patriot here

Projected Pitching Matchups

August 16: Chris Volstad vs. James McDonald
August 17: Ricky Nolasco vs. Zach Duke
August 18: Josh Johnson vs. Ross Ohlendorf
August 19: Sean West
vs. Paul Maholm

ZiPS In-Season Projections

FIP Proj. FIP Win% Marlins Date Reds Win% Proj. FIP FIP
4.53 4.61 .449 Volstad August 16 McDonald .422 4.88 2.66
3.87 3.69 .553 Nolasco August 17 Duke .479 4.33 4.91
2.33 2.84 .662 Johnson August 18 Ohlendorf .442 4.68 4.45
5.45 5.27 .385 West August 19 Maholm .522 3.95 4.39

Projected Lineup

Lineup Player Current wOBA Proj. wOBA v. RHP Proj. wOBA v. LHP
1 Hanley Ramirez .359 .392 .407
2 Logan Morrison .334
3 Gaby Sanchez .358 .339 .363
4 Dan Uggla .390 .364 .376
5 Mike Stanton .391
6 Cody Ross .315 .327 .361
7 Wes Helms .293 .294 .321
8 Ronny Paulino .291 .298 .333

Notes

- Josh Johnson will make the third start of this series, and hopefully he can make it look better than his last one. The Cincinnati Reds start was awful, or at least awfully unlucky.

- Wes Helms cannot have a tenuous grip on the third base job, but he is holding onto it mostly because the Marlins’ next option is Donnie Murphy.

- Mike Stanton has been moved up to fifth in the lineup thanks to his hot streak. Ross has struggled this season anyway, so it isn’t a terrible move. Manager Edwin Rodriguez also mentioned that Hanley Ramirez will be leading off for the rest of the season.

Bold Prediction: Marlins win three out of four games

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Tags: Hanley Ramirez Josh Johnson Miami Marlins Mike Stanton Pittsburgh Pirates Wes Helms

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