NL East Preview 2012: First Baseman

We will continue today with the NL East Preview of the 2012 first baseman. First base is not a set position in the NL East as of yet. The Washington Nationals are still on hot pursuit of Prince Fielder. Since they are the favorites to land Fielder, I will include him as their first baseman. If Fielder signs elsewhere, I will have an update this post to show the changes. Also, Philadelphia Phillies first baseman, Ryan Howard, is expected to miss opening day, but since he clearly is the best first baseman the Phillies have, and will have a job upon arrival, he is included as well.

 

Update: Prince Fielder has signed with the Detroit Tigers. Here is the updated rankings.

Here is a glimpse of the starting first baseman for each NL East team in 2012.

Freddie Freeman

Projection PA AVG OBP SLG wOBA WAR HR
Bill James 592 .286 .350 .459 .350 1.6 20
Roto Champ 622 .280 .352 .461 .354 1.9 23
Fans 640 .285 .344 .463 .349 2.4 22

Gaby Sanchez

Projection PA AVG OBP SLG wOBA WAR HR
Bill James 624 .276 .360 .452 .353 2.8 20
Roto Champ 629 .272 .358 .440 .351 2.5 19
Fans 642 .271 .348 .436 .344 2.7 19

Ike Davis

Projection PA AVG OBP SLG wOBA WAR HR
Bill James 593 .288 .377 .504 .316 4.5 25
Roto Champ 568 .263 .357 .365 .467 3.2 22
Fans 591 .278 .362 .360 .484 4.1 24

Ryan Howard

Projection PA AVG OBP SLG wOBA WAR HR
Bill James 675 .266 .360 .525 .372 3.1 40
Roto Champ 331 .255 .347 .490 .358 0.9 17
Fans 478 .263 .343 .488 .354 1.9 24

Adam LaRoche

Projection PA AVG OBP SLG wOBA WAR HR
Bill James 293 .255 .333 .445 .341 0.9 11
Roto Champ 455 .244 .327 .415 .328 1.5 15
Fans 506 .259 .335 .420 .331 1.6 15

 

According to these projections, we can draw this:

  1. Ike Davis
  2. Gaby Sanchez
  3. Freedie Freeman
  4. Ryan Howard
  5. Adam LaRoche
The projections love Ike Davis and the new dimensions at Citi Field should work in his favor. Gaby Sanchez is the starting first baseman for your Marlins. His standing in the NL East is the same as it would be in the MLB. He is a middle of the pact guy. He is not going to be a superstar ever, but is a very solid everyday player. I expected Freeman to be ahead of Sanchez, but the projections did not see the same thing. Ryan Howard is probably the second best first baseman in the NL East when he is 100% healthy. The Nationals lost out big time. Adam LaRoche is nowhere near the level of Fielder. They went from potentially having the best to the worst first baseman.

Topics: Atlanta Braves, Freddie Freeman, Gaby Sanchez, Ike Davis, Miami Marlins, New York Mets, Philadelphia Phillies, Prince Fielder, Ryan Howard, Washington Nationals

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  • fpunja2

    prince, ike, howard, freddie, gaby. im sorry, but as much as i like gaby, this is as good as he gets. .270, 19-25 hrs, 70-80 rbi is pretty much his ceiling whereas every other 1b in the NL east either has the potential 2 get better (freddie and ike) or already IS better than gaby sanchez (i.e. prince or howard). and yes i know howard strikes out a lot and has a glaring weakness when it comes 2 hitting offspeed pitches but considering last year was probably his worst year as an everyday player and he STILL hit .253 33 HR 116 rbi, that is a hell of a lot better then gaby’s best year a couple of years ago. sry, but we kinda have the worst 1b in the divison, theres a resaon we went after pujols hard (besides the obvious lol)