Series Preview: New York Mets


The Marlins come home after finishing off the road trip in an acceptable fashion by beating the Chicago Cubs in two of three games. Unfortunately, they’ll be greeted at home by what is typically the worst of the home series of the season, a set against the New York Mets. We get the Mets and their annoying (and overpowering in Sun Life Stadium) fanbase for four important games this weekend.

New York Mets (18-16) @ Florida Marlins, May 13-16, Games 35-38

NL East Standings


Stadium: Sun Life Stadium
Five-year Run PF*: 0.99
Five-year HR PF*: 0.97
Stadium Dimensions:
Left Field: 330 ft.
Left-Center: 361
Center Field: 404
Right-Center: 361
Right Field: 345

*Five-year regressed park factors provided by Patriot here

Projected Pitching Matchups

May 13: Josh Johnson vs. Johan Santana
May 14: Anibal Sanchez vs. Oliver Perez
May 15: Nate Robertson vs. John Maine
May 16: Ricky Nolasco vs. Jonathan Niese

ZiPS In-Season Projections

3.10.627JohnsonMay 13Santana.5853.43
4.00.516SanchezMay 14Perez.4264.84
4.43.468RobertsonMay 15Maine.4504.60
3.62.561NolascoMay 16Niese.5074.09

Projected Lineup

LineupPlayerCurrent wOBAProj. wOBA v. RHPProj. wOBA v. LHP
1Chris Coghlan.238.339.312
2Gaby Sanchez.339.334.363
3Hanley Ramirez.375.402.422
4Jorge Cantu.339.331.349
5Dan Uggla.370.354.363
6John Baker/Ronny Paulino*.271/.366.320.343
7Cody Ross.321.334.367
8Brett Carroll

*Baker and Paulino are platooning. Projected wOBA vs. RHP is for Baker, vs. LHP is for Paulino.


– Most indications have shown that Cameron Maybin has at least temporarily lapsed into a bench role, with Brett Carroll taking the majority of the time in right field and Cody Ross moving to center field. I doubt that this is a wise decision by the team, but the club would like to allow Coghlan to stick through his slump but is giving Maybin little leeway. I’ll figure out the Carroll splits later on for the next series, I apologize.

– Running a little short on time right now, so I’ll let my interview with Kerel of On the Black take care of the rest of the notes for the preview.

Bold Prediction: Marlins take three of four games