Series Preview: @Cincinnati Reds


Coming off of a much-needed three-game sweep of the Washington Nationals, the Marlins visit the Cincinnati Reds, looking to shake up the NL Central race for the second time this week. The Fish faced the St. Louis Cardinals over the last weekend, and now we’ll get a chance to meet the other half of the close divisional race.

Florida Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds (64-51), August 10-12, Games 111-113

NL East Standings


Stadium: Great American Ballpark
Five-year Run PF*: 1.04
Five-year HR PF*: 1.11
Stadium Dimensions:
Left Field: 329 ft.
Left-Center: 379
Center Field: 404
Right-Center: 370
Right Field: 325

*Five-year regressed park factors provided by Patriot here

Projected Pitching Matchups

August 10: Josh Johnson vs. Edinson Volquez
August 11: Sean West vs. Mike Leake
August 12: Anibal Sanchez vs. Homer Bailey

ZiPS In-Season Projections

FIPProj. FIPWin%MarlinsDateRedsWin%Proj. FIPFIP 10Volquez.5004.145.94
7.315.59.357WestAugust 11Leake4.46 12Bailey.4624.494.71

Projected Lineup

LineupPlayerCurrent wOBAProj. wOBA v. RHPProj. wOBA v. LHP
1Hanley Ramirez.361.388.403
2Logan Morrison.313
3Gaby Sanchez.358.337.361
4Dan Uggla.388.361.373
5Cody Ross.320.327.361
6Mike Stanton.374
7Wes Helms.287.284.311
8Ronny Paulino.293.288.323


– Hopefully the smaller Great American Ballpark will further assist the power surge of guys like Mike Stanton and Hanley Ramirez.

– Good pitching matchup tonight between Josh Johnson and Edinson Volquez. Hopefully JJ can get enough support from the bullpen to get the win. As sad as it may be, Johnson probably will not win the Cy Young award if he does not get more winz, so I’ll cheer for the win even though it is a dumb stat.

Bold Prediction: Marlins win two out of three games.