Series Preview: @Cincinnati Reds

Coming off of a much-needed three-game sweep of the Washington Nationals, the Marlins visit the Cincinnati Reds, looking to shake up the NL Central race for the second time this week. The Fish faced the St. Louis Cardinals over the last weekend, and now we’ll get a chance to meet the other half of the close divisional race.

Florida Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds (64-51), August 10-12, Games 111-113

NL East Standings

Tm	W	L	Win%	GB
ATL	66	48	.579	—
PHI	64	50	.561	2.0
FLA	57	56	.504	8.5
NYM	57	57	.500	9.0
WSN	49	66	.426	17.5

Stadium: Great American Ballpark
Five-year Run PF*: 1.04
Five-year HR PF*: 1.11
Stadium Dimensions:
Left Field: 329 ft.
Left-Center: 379
Center Field: 404
Right-Center: 370
Right Field: 325

*Five-year regressed park factors provided by Patriot here

Projected Pitching Matchups

August 10: Josh Johnson vs. Edinson Volquez
August 11: Sean West vs. Mike Leake
August 12: Anibal Sanchez vs. Homer Bailey

ZiPS In-Season Projections

FIP	Proj. FIP	Win%	Marlins	Date	Reds	Win%	Proj. FIP	FIP
2.29	2.78	.670	Johnson	August 10	Volquez	.500	4.14	5.94
7.31	5.59	.357	West	August 11	Leake	—	—	4.46
3.25	3.54	.571	Sanchez	August 12	Bailey	.462	4.49	4.71

Projected Lineup

Lineup	Player	Current wOBA	Proj. wOBA v. RHP	Proj. wOBA v. LHP
1	Hanley Ramirez	.361	.388	.403
2	Logan Morrison	.313	—	—
3	Gaby Sanchez	.358	.337	.361
4	Dan Uggla	.388	.361	.373
5	Cody Ross	.320	.327	.361
6	Mike Stanton	.374	—	—
7	Wes Helms	.287	.284	.311
8	Ronny Paulino	.293	.288	.323

Notes

– Hopefully the smaller Great American Ballpark will further assist the power surge of guys like Mike Stanton and Hanley Ramirez.

– Good pitching matchup tonight between Josh Johnson and Edinson Volquez. Hopefully JJ can get enough support from the bullpen to get the win. As sad as it may be, Johnson probably will not win the Cy Young award if he does not get more winz, so I’ll cheer for the win even though it is a dumb stat.

Bold Prediction: Marlins win two out of three games.