Miami Marlins (37-41) @ Milwaukee Brewers (37-42) July 3rd, 4:10 PM EST (Game 80)


The Miami Marlins four-game winning streak was snapped last night, as they blew two leads, of 2-0 and 5-2, before finally losing the game 6-5. Justin Ruggiano‘s strong offensive game was canceled out by poor pitching by Carlos Zambrano and two Hanley Ramirez errors.

The Marlins and Brewers will be right back at it today. Take note that today’s game will be at 4:10 PM EST instead of the usual night game. The Marlins will need this game to bring back some of the mojo they had during their win streak. The team has now lost five straight road games.

Washington4532.5845-5W120-1425-187/1 @ ATL, W 8-47/3 vs SF, 6:35 PM
NY Mets4337.5383.55-5L123-1720-207/1 @ LAD, L 3-87/3 vs PHI, 7:10 PM
Atlanta4138.5195.04-6L218-2123-177/2 vs CHC, L 1-47/3 vs CHC, 7:10 PM
Miami3841.4818.05-5L122-2216-197/2 @ MIL, L 5-67/3 @ MIL, 4:10 PM
Philadelphia3645.44411.03-7L517-2419-217/1 @ MIA, L 2-57/3 @ NYM, 7:10 PM

Miller Park

Five-year Run PF*: 0.99
Five-year HR PF*: 1.02
Stadium Dimensions:
Left field line—342 ft.
Left-center field—374 ft.
Center field—400 ft.
Right-center field—378 ft.
Right field line—356 ft.

*Five-year regressed park factors provided by Patriot here

Probable Starters

Anibal Sanchez, RHP
2012 stats
96.0Innings Pitched42.0
3.94Earned Run Average4.50
Career vs. opponent
32.1Innings Pitched7.1
4.73Earned Run Average12.27

Marco Estrada, RHP

After a disastrous month of June that saw Anibal Sanchez post an ERA/FIP of 7.06/5.23, Anibal hopes to have a stronger July and return to the level he was pitching at in April/May. He worked toward that last time out, as he allowed just three runs in seven innings of a 5-3 win over St. Louis on Wednesday. Sanchez has actually been a better pitcher on the road compared to home. Sanchez’s home ERA/FIP is 5.20/3.54 compared to his away ERA/FIP of 2.21/3.35. The Marlins will need a big start from Anibal in order to have a chance to win this ballgame. Corey Hart and Rickie Weeks each have had some success against Anibal Sanchez in their careers. They are a combined 10-for-22 with two home runs.

Marco Estrada will be taking the mound for the Brewers in his second start since coming off the disabled list from a quadriceps strain. Estrada, who missed almost an entire month with the quad injury, returned last Tuesday and gave up three runs – all on a homer – and struck out a career-high 12 in six innings of a 4-3 loss at Cincinnati. The Marlins have had plenty of success against Estrada, especially when he was a National. Estrada has made five appearances against the Marlins, but in his only start versus the Marlins, he allowed five runs and walked three in 2 1-3 innings of an 11-3 loss Sept. 12, 2009, while with Washington. Jose Reyes is 3-for-5 career against Estrada.

Marlins Projected Lineup

LineupPlayerCurrent wOBAProj. wOBA vs RHPCareer BA vs Greinke
1Jose Reyes
2Hanley Ramirez
3Giancarlo StantonGreg Dobbs
4Logan Morrison
5Justin Ruggiano
6Omar Infante
7Gaby Sanchez
8John Buck

Gaby Sanchez will be back in the lineup for the Marlins after getting two straight days off. The Marlins are hoping that his brief break can get Gaby to clear his mind and start hitting well again. The blackhole that the Marlins have gotten offensively from first base is really affecting the team now. Since making his return to the big leagues on June 10th, Sanchez is just 10-for-50, with just three walks in 54 plate appearances.

Justin Ruggiano is 9 for 17 with in his last five games, while Giancarlo Stanton has 5 home runs in his past 11 games. Logan Morrison is hitting .316 in his last seven days. Beyond those three hitters, the rest of the Marlins lineup has continued their struggles in 2012. A turnaround is needed for the Fish to start winning more ballgames.

Stanton was a late scratch from the Marlins lineup.


I am feeling a big offensive night from Hanley Ramirez. Hanley will have three hits tonight and drive in four runs for the Marlins. Anibal Sanchez will have a strong game for the Marlins, going eight and striking out nine. The Marlins will jump all over Estrada early and get into the inconsistent Brewers bullpen. The Marlins will win the ballgame 9-1.