Jun 24, 2015; Miami, FL, USA; Miami Marlins right fielder Giancarlo Stanton (27) connects for a solo home run against the St. Louis Cardinals during the second inning at Marlins Park. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports
#21: Giancarlo Stanton, OF, Miami
Controlled Through: 2020
Guaranteed Dollars: $318.5 million
2016 ZIPS WAR: +5.5
Five year ZIPS WAR: +26.2
Last Year: #15
"There might not be a player on this list who would generate a wider range of responses from the other teams if he was actually made available for trade. Given the sheer size of the long-term commitment, it’s likely that at least a few franchises would have no interest, while those with some financial flexibility and the incentive to win now would be thrilled to acquire the game’s premier slugger. This isn’t a guy who would appeal to everyone, but to those with interest, it would be intense. The key to determining Stanton’s trade value really turns on the odds of him exercising his opt-out clause; if you’re convinced he’s going to use it to re-enter free agency after the 2020 season, then an acquiring team would only be on the hook for $100 million over the next five years, a pittance for one of the game’s superstars; even low-revenue clubs would sign up to take Stanton at 5/$100m. But if his continual string of injuries begin to break his body down prematurely — or the injuries are simply a sign that a guy this size might not be able to stay on the field regularly in his thirties — then the remaining $218 million over the final seven years could be a very stiff tax to pay for getting his the remainder of his productive years. If you think the injuries are no big deal and he’s going to remain a +5 win player for the next four or five years, you can give up the moon to get him and not worry about the end of the contract, because he’ll void it for you. But there’s a lot of risk in that bet, and if he keeps getting hurt, then he’s probably not worth trading a lot of good assets for. Both the risk and reward are quite high, so I’ve ended up placing him here, though your own risk aversion might dictate that he be 10 spots higher or not on the list at all, with nearly any ranking in between being justifiable. He’s just a very hard asset to value."
Even with his expensive 13-year extension, Giancarlo Stanton still remains the best Marlins player, as well as the most valuable trade chip for the Marlins. Only problem being that a team would have to have deep pockets, both in terms of cash and prospects, to acquire Stanton, if he were to want out of Miami. This is what limits his trade value from being top 20 in baseball.
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Stanton is coming off an MVP caliber season in 2014, posting a .288/.395/.555 slash line in 2014 with a 159 wRC+, a 6.2 fWAR and 37 home runs. If not for a fluke hit by pitch in the face injury that caused Stanton to miss most of September, he likely would have broken the 42-home run franchise record held by Gary Sheffield and even challenged Hanley Ramirez‘s single season fWAR of 7.5 in 2008.
In the offseason, the Marlins and Stanton agreed to a 13-year extension for $325 million. The contract is the largest in baseball history and holds an opt-out after the seventh season.
This season has shown that the injury Stanton suffered has no major ramifications to his game. He’s posted a .265/.346/.606 slash line with a 156 wRC+ and 27 home runs in 318 plate appearances. He leads the Marlins in 2015 with a 3.9 fWAR and was well on his way to his first 40-home run season.
Despite being out since June 26th, Stanton still leads the major in home runs at the All-Star Break, with the team hoping he returns in late July or early August.
Stanton has been a major find for the Marlins franchise and should be a huge part of the team for, hopefully, the next 13 seasons.
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