Miami Marlins: Faceless, Aceless, Five Most Lackluster Rotations

That the Miami Marlins are entering the 2017 MLB season without a true ace in their rotation is no secret. They have had lackluster rotations many times. Let’s take a look at five of them.

The loss of Jose Fernandez was one of the biggest stories in all of baseball to end last year, and shaped the entire Miami Marlins‘ off-season. The club worked to best address the subtraction of that much talent by crafting a superb bullpen to back up a less than stellar starting five.

What may be a secret, though, is just how rare an occurrence this is for the soon to be twenty-five-year-old franchise.

With only six winning seasons and two playoff berths to show for themselves during that time, it would be easy to assume the Marlins have routinely lacked a No. 1 guy; someone that gave fans and the clubhouse confidence that every fifth day they were going to be in a position to win. How could they have had more than a handful of seasons with a pitcher of that caliber leading the way, with so lackluster a track record?

Pretty easily, now that you mention it.

They had two years of Kevin Brown, five years of being led by a World Series MVP, five years of Josh Johnson, and six years with a National League Rookie of the Year. That’s eighteen years worth of elite talent setting the tone.

Put another way, fourteen seasons of Marlins baseball saw the team enter the season with a starting pitcher in the rotation who had played in an All-Star Game as a Marlin, with an additional four seeing a member of the club earn the honor that year. That leaves seven seasons unaccounted for, but three of those had 1997 heroes Livan Hernandez (1998) or Alex Fernandez (1999, 2000) take the mound on Opening Day.

So, it is rare air we’re breathing right now with this Edinson Volquez-led quintet leading us into the 2017 campaign. Depending on your perspective, either as many as eleven or as few as four have brought anything close to this sense of uncertainty.

With that in mind, let’s take a trip down memory lane, and rank the five most lackluster rotations in franchise history. Again, this is based on perception entering the season, not necessarily final results. That means if it were not for Dontrelle Willis, the 2006 staff might have topped this list, even if it might have arguably been the second best staff in team history by the end of the season.

By the same token, that means the 2007 staff was not considered for an instant, even if they did end up being excruciatingly disappointing by season’s end. This is also about aces at the end of the day, and not necessarily the rotation overall.

Let’s dive in.

The 2008 Marlins- The “Ace” That Couldn’t Win Even If He Could, And Couldn’t 

Thirteen starts into Dontrelle Willis’ big-league career, the D-train had punched his ticket to the 2003 All-Star Game. Miguel Cabrera had hit three home runs, including a game-winner in his very first game. Both would go on to lead the Marlins to their second world championship in their rookie years.

Thirteen starts into his big league career, Andrew Miller had posted a record of 5-5 and a 5.63 ERA. Still touted as a high-value prospect though, the jewel coming over in “The Trade” that sent the two faces of the franchise to the Tigers for a boatload of prospects, the bar was set pretty high.

Seldom would he ever be in danger of showing signs he could clear that bar.

At season’s start though, Miller was greeted with that bizarre mix of equal parts cynicism and high expectation that have greeted many a Marlins roster move during the Jeffrey Loria era. Performing well wouldn’t cut it- he had to be great, and great wasn’t expected.

The Opening Day start went to Mark Hendrickson, a decision based much more on MLB tenure than a successful track record. His best ERA mark in the past five seasons was 4.21, and the six earned runs he surrendered in the opener did nothing to convince fans a pitching mechanics epiphany was forthcoming.

As for the rest of the rotation…it was an ugly story. Hendrickson would finish with a 5.45 ERA, and Miller was worse.

Only one of the Marlins top four finishers in games started would post an ERA under 4.00.

Fans finding themselves confused over how this could have been possible given the fact that franchise stalwarts like Josh Johnson, Ricky Nolasco, and Anibal Sanchez were all still with the team are blessed with not having to remember the horror show that was the lost season of 2007.

The above trio, along with Dontrelle and Scott Olsen, were the envy of the league in 2006 when all five members of the starting rotation won 10 or more games. But Johnson, Nolasco, and Sanchez all suffered season-ending injuries in their sophomore seasons and did so early. Only Nolasco would be healthy enough to make the 2008 Opening Day Roster, with Johnson and Sanchez not expected back until midseason.

Olsen came into 2008 after an abysmal year where he was lucky to keep his ERA under 6.00, Willis was off to Detroit, and Nolasco was anything but a household name yet. Of that celebrated 2006 staff, he had easily performed the worst of the five, hitting his double-digit wins with a .500 record and 4.82 ERA. So precious few had the expectation he was about to become a rotation cornerstone.

But if you have four infielders club 25 HRs or more, it turns out pitching doesn’t matter very much. The 2008 team was probably as close as the Marlins have come to making the playoffs since winning the 2003 title, and with Johnson and Sanchez returning as expected, the rotation improved significantly as the season progressed.

The 2013 Miami Marlins- The Year Everyone Was Upset Over A Good Firesale 

So to recap, entering 2008, Ricky Nolasco wasn’t Ricky Nolasco yet. Entering 2013, he was making his second Opening Day start with the team and was the club leader in both wins and strikeouts.

But 2008 was also the last time he had produced anything resembling a respectable ERA, and he’d lost more than he’d won for two years running.

The Spring Training injury carnage was so bad actually, the Marlins ended up having no choice but to rush their top prospect to the big leagues.

To be fair, some of these names were only there because of injuries to two of the club’s more promising pitchers in Henderson Alvarez and Nathan Eovaldi.

The Spring Training injury carnage was so bad that the Marlins ended up having no choice but to rush their top prospect to the big leagues.

Some kid named Jose Fernandez.

So yes, by season’s end, the Fish had discovered their next ace, along with a seemingly solid No. 2 option in Alvarez and a legit innings eater in Tom Koehler. In early April though? Expectations really couldn’t have been much lower.

The 2017 Miami Marlins- Expectations Make A Difference 

The 2000 and 2013 rotations highlighted earlier on this list shared two things in common. For one, they both still contained what we’ll call a poor man’s ace. Somebody who at least had a track record with the organization of doing something constructive.

More importantly, though, both of those teams were blissfully free from the burden of expectation. Modest improvement was hoped for in one case, the apocalypse was expected in the other.

Yet this team is genuinely expected by the organization to contend for a playoff spot.

Because the only member of it who enjoys any kind of consistent track record with the team is Koehler, who despite actually being very similar to Nolasco in many respects, has never enjoyed that same level of trust from the fans.

Two members of the rotation are completely new, three if you count a Wei-Yin Chen that missed the majority of his maiden voyage with the club due to injury. No one in it has ever put together a season, for any team, which showed them to be capable of being anything more than a good No. 3 arm.

Yet this team is genuinely expected by the organization to contend for a playoff spot. The payroll has never been higher. Even most of the national pundits that discredit that notion do so based on organizational depth and Giancarlo Stanton‘s penchant for fluky injuries. If this team stays healthy, it’s supposed to win.

That’s got to be new ground for a team expected to do something with their season other than developing players. Definitely for the Marlins, and probably most teams, period.

The 1994 Miami Marlins- Over The Thrill 

First off, it feels weird not calling this group the Florida Marlins.

Now you might be wondering why we didn’t go Inaugural Rotation here. The 1994 rotation was better than them, significantly so; the same was true of the entire team. I did think about it.

More from Marlin Maniac

• Miami Marlins news: Another target gone
• Why didn’t the Miami Marlins sign JDM?
• Miami Marlins rejected Boston‘s trade offer
• Miami Marlins are pursuing Michael Conforto
• Miami Marlins need to spend to win

Then I remembered how exciting it was that Miami was getting a baseball team though. Sheer buzz gets that rotation off the hook. Heck, sheer buzz got Opening Day starter Charlie Hough that called strike on a first franchise pitch that couldn’t have been more inside if it hit Jose Offerman.

Fast forward a year though, and the newness had worn off a bit. The top three projected Marlins starters were all 1993 alum and had all produced losing records and ERAs well north of 4.00 in the previous campaign.

And while the first Fish season was never expected to be a winning one, there’s a certain finality to winning less than seventy games, especially for a community used to athletic success. An improvement was hoped for, but it would be much slower going than fans might have dreamed of an April ago. It was also clear that any significant uptick in the standings was going to come as a result of the offense, not the caretaker rotation.

Next: Marlins Late Inning Strategy Should Fascinate Early

Hopes were reigned in for 1994, and that’s not even accounting for the fact that there were rumors of some kind of strike taking place. The combination of no clear talent and no clear expectations gives this group the top prize.