Miami Marlins Swept at “Home” by Mets: Grading the Marlins

SEATTLE, WA - APRIL 19: Reliever Jarlin Garcia
SEATTLE, WA - APRIL 19: Reliever Jarlin Garcia /
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The Miami Marlins dropped all three matchups at home against the New York Mets. This included two eighth-inning blown leads and a six-inning no hit bid by Jarlin Garcia.

I used the Wins Probability Added metric (WPA) to help ascertain which players performed in the higher leverage situations. In other words, if the Miami Marlins are winning, 6-0, a plate appearance doesn’t count as much. Conversely, an at bat with two on and two out in the bottom of the 13th has a very high leverage.

There’s something else you need to understand about WPA. Every game has a collective WPA of zero. The winning team will finish with a total of .50, and the losing team will have -.50. As such, it’s not a great predictor of future performance. What it can tell you is which players performed best when the chips were down.

Miami’s bullpen and every position player got into at least one game. Jacob Turner and Severino Gonzalez (with New Orleans) didn’t appear. Garrett Cooper is on the DL. Dillon Peters‘ and Trevor Richards‘ turns didn’t come up in the rotation. We will outline each of the 23 Marlins that appeared in the series.

For comparison’s sake, I’ll take a moment here to outline how the New York Mets fared.

Adrian Gonzalez +.415

Michael Conforto +.303

Asdrubal Cabrera +.286

Wilmer Flores +.236

Hansel Robles +.185

Jeurys Familia +.178

Zach Wheeler +.172

Yoenis Cespedes +.107

Todd Frazier +.100

Noah Syndergaard +.095

Brandon Nimmo +.073

Jerry Blevins +.066

AJ Ramos +.061

Robert Gsellman +.050

Amed Rosario +.042

Paul Sewald +.011

Jose Reyes -.007

Kevin Plawecki -.018

Tomas Nido -.019

Juan Lagares -.083

Jay Bruce -.196

Jacob deGrom -.252

Jacob Rhame -.293