Today’s Marlins Rays preview has a focus on gambling. Watching a Marlins game is fun, but when you add wagering money on the game your life gets more entraining over the course of the game. Today as a fellow degenerate gambler I’ll be here to discuss what Vegas thinks about the Marlins-Rays game today. I have to say I don’t support wagering your hard-earned cash on a game you can’t control, but I will give you my thoughts on the Vegas lines just in case you can’t help yourself.
Marlins (+195) versus Rays (-230) with an over-under set at 7.5.
Tyler Glasnow is the kind of pitcher that can give the Marlins fits with his arsenal of pitches designed to never give you a read on what’s coming. Trevor Rogers is the opposite in which most pitches will be either a fastball with great movement or the changeup. The Rays are a disciplined bunch and they could potentially sit on the change up if the fastball isn’t dominant. This will be the rookies third start this season as he enters with a 2.00 ERA against one of the best lineups in baseball. Can he dominate? Absolutely! Rogers currently owns an expected batting average against of .148 and has yet to allow a hitter to barrel a baseball. Trevor Rogers isn’t talked about enough right now, but a good start tonight may have the mainstream baseball media catch on to how good he can be!
Things to know:
Tonight will be Tyler Glasnow’s debut against the Marlins as he never faced the team and has only faced one batter in this lineup, Jesus Aguilar.
Miguel Rojas owns a .377AVG in 77 plate appearances against the Rays in his career.
Lewis Brinson in the last 14 days is hitting .357 with 7 strikeouts. He hasn’t walked in that stretch.
Matt Joyce is likely the get the start tonight as he sports a .300 AVG against RHP pitching this year. A great addition to the game given all of the injuries the team has suffered.
Trevor Rogers has been elite on not giving up contact, but he has been in the bottom 4% of the league in walk percentage facing the 2nd best team in baseball at getting walks.
What I like today:
5 inning line over 3.5 runs scored (-120). Tyler Glasnow has shown that he is suspectable to the long ball and the way Jesus Aguilar and Corey Dickerson are swinging the bat I believe they could do some damage on the 27-year-old ace. On the other side Trevor Rogers could potentially be in for a rough game if the command isn’t there so I believe there is room for the Rays to score 4 on their own.