Which of these Miami Marlins moves will happen?

MIAMI, FLORIDA - JULY 22: Miguel Rojas #19 of the Miami Marlins in action against the San Diego Padres at loanDepot park on July 22, 2021 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images)
MIAMI, FLORIDA - JULY 22: Miguel Rojas #19 of the Miami Marlins in action against the San Diego Padres at loanDepot park on July 22, 2021 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images)

I saw this tweet yesterday:

and decided to analyze it. Are these moves realistic? Are they going to actually happen? It can be fun to speculate about what The Fish will do in the off-season. I think that some of these moves are definitely not happening and some actually might.

Fans have some ideas on what the Miami Marlins can do this off-season.

Bryan Reynolds is unlikely to be a member of the Miami Marlins next season. I wrote about him before in fact. Reynolds is a good player, but Pittsburgh wants way too much for him and after a -1.3 dWAR this season, he’s too much of a liability in CF defensively. Tommy Pham shouldn’t be expensive coming off a .236/.312/.374 0.4 WAR season split between the Cincinnati Reds and the Boston Red Sox. It also means that he’s hardly an upgrade for us, so I suspect that we won’t sign him.

What about Amed Rosario? The Cleveland Guardians may be open to moving him to cut costs, and with multiple middle infield prospects on the way. Amed is a free agent after next season and hit .283/.312/.403 with a 4.1 WAR and 1.1 dWAR. I don’t think that he’s cost much, so he could actually be an option. If the Miami Marlins acquire Amed or another SS, then Miguel Rojas could indeed be on his way out. Otherwise, I think that he stays considering his elite defense at a premium defensive position.

Will the Miami Marlins acquire hitting prospects and relief pitchers? Signing inexpensive relievers is pretty much a lock to happen, but acquiring prospects is odd considering we are not rebuilding anymore. Brian Anderson is almost certainly getting non-tendered but Elieser Hernandez is likely staying for pitching depth. I also don’t see the point of further non-tenders from the list or a trade of SP Braxton Garrett, who is good pitching depth, doesn’t have enough trade value and can still break out further.

Finally is the subject of SP Pablo López and his future with the Miami Marlins. He’s almost certainly getting traded and there are some appealing options in a trade return. As you can see there are some realistic and unrealistic options with this list of players.

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