9. Brandon Nimmo, CF
5 years/$100 Million to the Houston Astros
Brandon Nimmo is the top CF on the market. As a result, he’s going to get more interest than he probably should. The fact is that the CF market is so weak that even a just barely passable fielder can get very well paid. Nimmo only had a 0.2 dWAR in 2022.
Overall, Nimmo’s 2022 was very impressive. He finished the season with a 5.1 WAR and a .274/.367/.433 batting line with 16 home runs and 64 RBI in 151 games and 580 AB. Nimmo isn’t much of a power guy, but he gets on base and still does have some pop. Another important aspect is that he hits well enough for contact.
Does Brandon Nimmo have any red flags? Of course he does. He hasn’t been particularly healthy throughout his career, only playing over 100 games in 2018 and 2022, despite debuting well back in 2016. To be fair, he did play 55 games in the shortened 2020 season. All of that considered, his injury history is a clear red flag that light just scare off quite a few teams.
The need for CF help could push teams to bid high for Nimmo and could push the 29 year old (30 next year) into 5 year territory. He can turn make in the ballpark of $20 million a year. It’s an overpay that can actually happen in this terrible market for CF help. I wouldn’t be completely surprised if it Evers up being less years and dollars.
Who will sign him? My guess is that the New York Mets will pass even with Steve Cohen’s deep pockets. Houston has vacancies in LF and CF and may choose to land Nimmo to fill one of them. CF is the one glaring need in Houston’s lineup, so they may look at Brandon Nimmo as the solution for it. Nimmo will cost a draft pick due to having a QO attached.