Marlins vs. Mets Prediction and Odds for Thursday, April 6 (Trust Cabrera to Find Command)
By Joe Summers
Young phenom Edward Cabrera takes on the Mets for the second straight start this afternoon, hoping for better command this time around after issuing six walks in the first matchup.
New York counters with Tylor Megill, who picked up the win in the game while allowing two runs over five innings.
Miami has consecutive wins while the Mets are slumping with three straight losses after blowing a lead to the Brewers yesterday. I see value on the surging Marlins as a result and believe we're in store for a bounce-back performance from Cabrera.
Let's check out the odds before I explain why.
Marlins vs. Mets Odds, Spread, and Total
Marlins vs. Mets Prediction and Pick
Cabrera wasn't great in his season debut, displaying erratic command in an eventual Marlins loss. That being said, I'm willing to trust his body of work from last year and believe we've got a rising star on our hands.
Last season, the 6'5" 24-year-old rated in the 82nd percentile in expected batting average and 86th in whiff percentage while allowing three or fewer runs in 12 of his 14 starts. Megill served primarily as a reliever after suffering an injury early in the year, but finished with a 5.13 ERA. He wasn't as sharp as his numbers would indicate last week either, compiling a 6.28 expected ERA compared to a 3.60 actual ERA.
I'm left feeling dazzled every time I watch Cabrera and think he's catching New York's slumping lineup at the right time. The Mets were shutout twice against the Brewers before suffering a heartbreaking collapse in yesterday's loss.
New York used four relievers in that contest too, meaning Miami will have a bullpen advantage here. I'm backing the Marlins to earn a third straight victory as Cabrera settles down and finds his command.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.