May 20, 2014; Miami, FL, USA; Miami Marlins starting pitcher Jose Fernandez (16) fields questions from reporters during a press conference at Marlins Ballpark. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports
Before each season, I try to make bold predictions for what’s going to happen before each Miami Marlins season. I have done so for the past three seasons and the results have not gone as planned. In my first two years of making these bold predictions, I have gone just 2.5 out of 9.
Most of the time, my bold predictions look just stupid, but sometimes I do look like a genius. Last year, I did successfully and boldly predict that Jose Fernandez would win National League Rookie of the Year.
"5. Jose Fernandez will win Rookie of the Year Full disclosure: My original pick to win this was St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Shelby Miller, but when the news broke that Fernandez would be on the Marlins opening day roster, I amended my pick. And boy do I look like a genius today for changing my pick last minute. Even though I picked Fernandez to win ROY, I still vastly underrated what he would do. I predicted he would throw 138 IP, post a 3.75 ERA and post a 3.17 K/BB ratio. I was close on the K/BB ratio, as he came in at 3.22 for the year. I was however way off on the ERA (2.19) and the innings pitched (172.2). Fernandez has not won the award yet, but even despite the season Yasiel Puig had, I don’t see the voters picking him over Fernandez for the award. I will give myself the point for now and change it if he does not end up winning it. Correct (1/4)"
If I made one bold prediction correctly this season, I’d consider that a bigger moral victory than the Marlins improving their win total by 15 games from a season ago.