Former Miami Marlins ace may have a bit of a dilemma

With injuries taking out Sandy Alcantara and Eury Perez out for the season, The Fish need other starting pitchers to step up. One of those pitchers is of course Trevor Rogers. The once promising ace arm has spent the majority of the last few seasons injured himself. He's been back this season and let's see how that's going to go...

Miami Marlins starting pitcher Trevor Rogers has been kind of shaky this season.

Trevor Rogers had a 2.64 ERA/2.55 FIP, with 10.6 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9, in his memorable 2021 season with the Miami Marlins. He did this in 25 games and 133.0 innings pitched. In 2022-2023, he produced a 5.26 ERA/4.32 FIP, with 9.0 K/9 and 3.7 BB/9, in 27 games and 125.0 innings pitched.

Rogers had a terrible ERA, but a much more tenable FIP. The strikeout rate was pretty good, but the walk rate left quite a bit to be desired. The more important issue was of course his inability to pitch that many innings, due to constantly spending time on the injured list.

In 2024, Trevor Rogers so far has a 4.10 ERA/2.85 FIP, with 8.2 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9. This is actually very promising to say the least. The FIP is that of an ace, though the ERA is obviously not. It appears that Rogers can't get past 5 2/3 innings pitched in a season. It appears that Rogers keeps giving up runs once he gets to that point. There's more on this if you're interested.

My personal take on this situation is that Trevor Rogers is still getting adjusted to pitching after missing significant time each season. His fastball velocity doesn't change significantly, but he does tend to have issues facing a lineup a third time. This is something common for pitchers in general however.

Trevor had this to say about the matter:

“I think it's a little bit of both. I think I just need to dial in a little bit better with my location. The margin of error goes down a little bit the deeper you get into games, and [I’ve] just got to locate better and mix a little bit better as well.”

I hope that Trevor Rogers can get past this issue and have better luck going forward. If he can stay healthy, he can be a solid mid-rotation arm at worst.