Update on an injured Miami Marlins pitcher

Miami Marlins starting pitcher Trevor Rogers has been injured for most of this season. He showed flashes of brilliance since his 2021 breakout, but he's been injured too much since then. When is he finally coming back? What does his future hold? We at least have some idea as to what it does. I'm still high on Trevor coming back and pitching like an ace.

Miami Marlins starting pitcher Trevor Rogers hasn't pitched in a long time.

Trevor Rogers looked like he was going to be a Cy Young contender, after he delivered a 2.64 ERA/2.55 FIP, with 10.6 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 25 games and 133.0 innings pitched in 2021. Things didn't go as well for him since. In 2022, he delivered a poor 5.47 ERA/4.35 FIP, with 8.9 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9, in 23 games and 107.0 innings pitched. Things didn't get much better for him this season. He produced a 4.00 ERA/4.10 FIP, with 9.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9.

Trevor Rogers has not been the same pitcher since that 2021 season, but there were stretches where he performed similarly. That said, it makes sense to point out that his fastball velocity has dropped since that 2021 season. His velocity was 94.6 mph in that season, and stayed the same in 2022. It however fell down to 93.4 this season. was this just due to injury? Or is he going to have that lowered velocity going forward?

The current injuries that Trevor has are a right lat strain and a left biceps strain. He finally started throwing again on August 25, and is playing catch four times a week. Rogers himself says that his lat is partially torn and just needs time to naturally heal. It's very good that it's not a UCL or any other arm specific injury. At this point he's not expected to pitch again this season, but he should be back next season.

Trevor Rogers might be on an innings limit next season, but that shouldn't prevent him from winning a rotation spot. He's a good starting pitcher who can still put up ace numbers when fully healthy.